Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction • Philip E. Tetlock & Dan Gardner

Dec 13, 2022
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a book that explores the field of forecasting and the psychological and cognitive biases that can affect our ability to make accurate predictions. The book discusses the use of various tools and techniques to improve forecasting accuracy, such as the use of base rates and scenario planning. It also explores the role of the "superforecaster" – individuals who have been shown to consistently outperform their peers at making accurate predictions – and what sets them apart from others.



Readability: ★★★☆☆

Entertaining: ★★☆☆☆

Overall: ★★★☆☆